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    特朗普领先摇摆州引爆避险

    来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年10月20日 13:44:16
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    ( FX168财)(经)(报)(社)((香)(港)()讯)(国)(际)(现)(货)(黄)(金)(周)(三)((11月)(9日)()亚)(市)(早)(盘)(飙)(升)(近)(3%,并)(刷)(新)(1313.15美)(元)(/盎)(司)(的)(日)(内)(高)(位)(,因)(美)(国)(大)(选)(的)(最)(新)(选)(情)(显)(示)(,共)(和)(党)(总)(统)(候)(选)(人)(特)(朗)(普)((DonaldTrump)在)(两)(大)(摇)(摆)(州)(领)(先)(与)(其)(对)(手)(希)(拉)(里)(,令)(市)(场)(对)(前)(者)(胜)(选)(的)(忧)(虑)(大)(大)(升)(温)(,打)(压)(美)(元)(指)(数)(重)(挫)(逾)(1.2%。
    (黄)(金)(5分)(钟)(来)(源)(:FX168财)(经)(网)()
      经)(过)(激)(烈)(的)(争)(夺)(,佛)(罗)(里)(达)(的)(计)(票)(已)(完)(成)(93%,目)(前)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(优)(势)(明)(显)((1.5%),逼)(近)(拿)(下)(关)(键)(州)(佛)(州)(。而)(在)(下)(一)(个)(交)(战)(的)(关)(键)(摇)(摆)(州)(俄)(亥)(俄)(州)(,特)(朗)(普)(也)(领)(先)(4%。
      消)(息)(墨)(西)(哥)(比)(索)(兑)(美)(元)(大)(幅)(跳)(水)(,跌)(幅)(扩)(大)(至)(4%;美)(元)(指)(数)(跌)(幅)(扩)(大)(超)(过)(1%,标)(普)(500指)(数)(期)(货)(跌)(幅)(扩)(大)(至)(1.2%,美)(元)(/日)(元)(大)(跌)(近)(3%。
      根)(据)(CNN的)(预)(测)(,6个)(关)(键)(“摇)(摆)(州)(”结)(果)(非)(常)(重)(要)(。希)(拉)(里)(大)(选)(前)(“稳)(赢)(“的)(选)(票)(数)(为)(268票)(,距)(离)(270大)(关)(仅)(一)(步)(之)(遥)(。不)(出)(意)(外)(的)(话)(,希)(拉)(里)(只)(需)(拿)(下)(任)(意)(一)(个)(摇)(摆)(州)(便)(可)(突)(破)(270票)(大)(关)(获)(胜)(,而)(特)(朗)(普)(则)(需)(要)(拿)(下)(全)(部)(6个)(州)(,才)(能)(够)(获)(得)(最)(终)(胜)(利)(。
      此)(前)(根)(据)(汤)(森)(路)(透)(/益)(索)(普)(选)(前)(公)(布)(的)(最)(后)(一)(份)(全)(国)(民)(调)(显)(示)(,希)(拉)(里)(支)(持)(率)(为)(44%,领)(先)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(39%。路)(透)(/益)(索)(普)(StatesoftheNation民)(调)(工)(具)(显)(示)(,希)(拉)(里)(击)(败)(特)(朗)(普)(的)(机)(率)(为)(90%。
      高)(盛)(集)(团)((GoldmanSachs)分)(析)(师)(MaxLayton周)(二)(称)(,该)(行)(预)(计)(民)(主)(党)(总)(统)(候)(选)(人)(希)(拉)(里)(赢)(得)(大)(选)(的)(可)(能)(性)(更)(大)(,同)(时)(将)(未)(来)(3个)(月)(、6个)(月)(的)(黄)(金)(价)(格)(预)(估)(维)(持)(在)(1280美)(元)(/盎)(司)(,并)(将)(未)(来)(12个)(月)(的)(预)(估)(维)(持)(在)(1250美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。
      花)(旗)(表)(示)(,如)(果)(特)(朗)(普)(胜)(选)(的)(尾)(部)(风)(险)(实)(现)(,黄)(金)(价)(格)(的)(波)(动)(率)(将)(继)(续)(走)(高)(,并)(有)(可)(能)(上)(涨)(至)(1375-1400美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。
      法)(国)(兴)(业)(银)(行)(指)(出)(,特)(朗)(普)(获)(胜)(将)(利)(好)(黄)(金)(,金)(价)(将)(发)(生)(膝)(跳)(反)(应)(攀)(升)(至)(1400美)(元)(/盎)(司)(甚)(至)(更)(高)(。如)(其)(当)(选)(,基)(于)(其)(保)(护)(主)(义)(与)(分)(裂)(主)(义)(/高)(地)(缘)(政)(治)(风)(险)(政)(策)(、高)(额)(预)(算)(支)(出)(以)(及)(不)(确)(定)(性)(高)(居)(不)(下)(,金)(价)(今)(年)(可)(能)(会)(收)(于)(1450-1500之)(间)(。这)(可)(能)(导)(致)(其)(今)(年)(黄)(金)(均)(价)(预)(期)(攀)(升)(至)(1300美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。2017年)(,金)(融)(市)(场)(将)(采)(取)(观)(察)(等)(待)(模)(式)(,但)(截)(至)(年)(底)(金)(价)(将)(进)(一)(步)(攀)(升)(至)(1550美)(元)(/盎)(司)(,均)(价)(达)(1400美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。
      瑞)(银)(集)(团)((UBS)财)(富)(管)(理)(子)(公)(司)(的)(大)(宗)(商)(品)(和)(外)(汇)(业)(务)(执)(行)(主)(管)(WayneGordon表)(示)(,“如)(果)(特)(朗)(普)(当)(选)(,我)(们)(认)(为)(金)(价)(将)(升)(向)(1400美)(元)(/盎)(司)(。如)(果)(希)(拉)(里)(当)(选)(,金)(价)(可)(能)(跌)(20-30美)(元)(。二)(者)(相)(比)(,金)(价)(明)(显)(偏)(向)(上)(行)(方)(向)(。”
    )


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